Diamondbacks 3, Twins 5: Twins Killing...
Record: 39-37. Pace: 83-79. Change on last season: -5
Over 24 innings in these three games, we actually outscored Minnesota 7-1. Unfortunately, this isn't diving, and you do not get to discard the highest score by the opposition from your card: because, in the other three innings, the Twins plundered no less than seventeen runs off Arizona, and ended up with the sweep. At least we avoided giving up a six-spot today - the five-spot allowed in the fifth proved more than an adequate substitute.
It was quite remarkable how rapidly this fell apart. We had a 3-0 lead, and had just put the first two men on base in the top of the fifth. However, Melvin inexplicably called upon Orlando Hudson to bunt the runners along. O-Dawg missed the ball entirely, the catcher threw to second and Drew was tagged out before he could scurry back to the bag. Hudson then immediately grounded into a double-play, and in the space of two pitches, we'd gone from two on with nobody out, to inning over. But, hey, we were still three runs ahead, and Brandon Webb was back to pitching like his old self. Even after a lead-off single for the Twins, it's no problem. For the next batter slaps a high fly-ball to left-field, where Conor Jackson has plenty of room and carefully places himself for an easy out.
Unfortunately, the ball drops to the Astroturf about six feet forward and to the right of our rookie right-fielder.
Yes, Jackson had completely lost the ball against the all-white backdrop of the Metrodome roof, and instead of a man on first and one out, the Twins had two men in scoring position and nobody out. Perhaps understandably, Webb appeared to be taken out of his game by the gaffe, and the next three hitters went two-RBI single, single, sacrifice bunt, two-RBI single. Drew then let a ground-ball through his legs, to put runners back on the corners with one out and the Twins now 4-3 up. The pain was mercifully ended by a sacrifice-fly double-play, which scored the runner on third, but got the other one trying to advance to second. However, the lead, as yesterday, had vanished into the mists of irrelevance, this time thanks to the Twins getting hold of Webb's sinker, and more mis-cues by the defense.
While I'm feeling all grumpy and critical, let me explain the purpose of the Designated Hitter. It is to allow you to add an extra batter to the line-up - not so that you can remove your best defensive player from the field and use him as the DH. I am obliged to mention this, because Bob Melvin seems unclear on the concept. I'd love to be able to ask him the logic behind taking our only Gold Glover - widely regarded as our top man on defense - off the field for the afternoon. Especially while, at the same time, you run our first baseman out into left, to contend with a position he has barely played, and deal with one of the most treacherous backdrops for fly-balls in the major-leagues.
Of course, some of this is second-guessing with the benefit of hindsight: we didn't know that CoJack was going to lose a fly-ball against the Metrodome roof. But that's exactly the kind of thing we've been dreading since Jackson bravely went into left. The American League rules should have made it less likely; we could keep Jackson's bat in the lineup alongside Tracy, and still had an experienced left-fielder. Instead, we had Ojeda at second-base and Jackson in left: hard to argue that both those were defensive downgrades, not really countered by having Ojeda at the plate instead of, say, Jeff Salazar.
Certainly, Jackson was one of the few hitters who proved capable of handling Hernandez 2.0, with Livan frustrating Arizona's offense in typical style, allowing nine hits in seven innings, but only one earned run. He even managed to find time to strike out a season-high five Diamondbacks, helped significantly by Chris Young looking at six straight strikes over his first two at-bats. [As an aside, Livan has improved his walk-rate seriously this year: it's now only at 1.39 BB/9 IP, down from 3.48 last season.] Jackson had three hits, while Reynolds and Snyder had a pair apiece.
Negative points to Drew, for getting picked off second in the nightmarish fifth, and Upton, caught stealing for the fourth time - he has only one successful attempt this year, so time for our first-base coach to bring out the staple-gun. We have now been caught 13 times in 38 attempts (66%), well below the usual break-even point, which is about 75%.

[Click to enlarge in new window]
Master of his domain: Chris Snyder, +22.1%
God-emperor of suck: Brandon Webb, -31.3%
Dishonorable mentions: Tracy, -16.5%; Young, -14.8%
We were at 88% before Hudson couldn't get the bunt down. About the only crumb of comfort we can take is that the Giants blew things even worse, dropping a 10-3 lead and a 97.5% Win Probability to Kansas City. Yeah, I got nothing. Rockies lost, Padres look likely to lose, but the Dodgers held on, and our lead is back to 3.5 games, as the American League kicked our ass in this series. Thanks to those who hung out in the Gameday Thread, which rolled on through the European soccer quarter-final between Italy and Spain, ending at almost 600 comments. Present were: unnamedDBacksfan, DbacksSkins, Counsellmember, soco, TwinnerA, srdmad, garyho (welcome!), acidtongue, luckycc, Wimb (Bisons win! Bisons win!), dbacksfan01, kishi, hotclaws, emilylovesthedbacks, Diamondhacks and 4 Corners Fan (again, hope your Mom gets better!).
Onto Boston, whose bullpen will hopefully be a bit tired by having taken thirteen innings this afternoon to avoid the sweep against St. Louis. Looking at the match-ups for the upcoming series at Fenway...yuck. If we can take one out of three, I'll be happy.
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Opening game at Fenway
is the National game of the day. Oh joy!
A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings. ~Earl Wilson
by unnamedDBacksfan on
Jun 22, 2008 9:50 PM EDT
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Not a lot of confidence in how the team will look. National games seem to show them off at their worst, and considering that they’re playing at or near their worst already. . .I think I need to rotate the tires on my car.
It's like living with a six-year old.
by 4 Corners Fan on
Jun 22, 2008 9:51 PM EDT
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Thanks for the get-well wishes
Mom seems to be doing fine. She’s watching the Cubs and the White Sox on ESPN and enjoying the game.
It's like living with a six-year old.
by 4 Corners Fan on
Jun 22, 2008 9:50 PM EDT
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very good to hear!
A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings. ~Earl Wilson
by unnamedDBacksfan on
Jun 22, 2008 9:59 PM EDT
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If your mom was enjoying the game, I’m assuming she was rooting for the Cubbies?
by TwinnerA on
Jun 22, 2008 11:41 PM EDT
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Yes, she was. She grew up in Northern Indiana and always cheers for the Cubbies.
It's like living with a six-year old.
by 4 Corners Fan on
Jun 22, 2008 11:46 PM EDT
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Good to hear!
Please continue to give us updates.
Have the Dodgers lost yet?
by DbacksSkins on
Jun 23, 2008 6:12 PM EDT
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Still working on that prospect analysis of Bonifacio and Ryal
Just got done with the section of E-Bone’s statistical track record. Honestly, doing so has been almost painful. Yeah he’s fast as shit, but the dude just isn’t that good of a hitter.
by Zephon on
Jun 22, 2008 9:53 PM EDT
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We should trade him to the Yankees immediately- I hear Hank Steinbrenner is in the market for some pinch runners during interleague play.
Currently blaming the D-backs struggles on: the Diamondbacks scoring fewer runs than the other team. Well, I was bound to get it right eventually.
by kishi on
Jun 22, 2008 9:59 PM EDT
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I wouldn't be too torn up
if we sent EBone packing for a trade deadline move. Although I haven’t the slightest idea as to the heir apparent of ODawg then.
Baseball season, when everything becomes right in the world.
by seton hall snake pit on
Jun 22, 2008 11:00 PM EDT
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I'd like to believe
that the series with the Twins was merely an opium induced dream.
Roads? Where we're going we don't need roads.
by soco on
Jun 22, 2008 10:06 PM EDT
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Ah!
So you finished OUaTiA, then?
Have the Dodgers lost yet?
by DbacksSkins on
Jun 23, 2008 10:14 AM EDT
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Yeah
great movie. I’d buy it right away but I want to wait a bit to see if it will come out on Blu-Ray. Next up is There Will Be Blood tonight, and then Taxi Driver tomorrow.
Roads? Where we're going we don't need roads.
by soco on
Jun 23, 2008 7:15 PM EDT
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So you believe that theory, eh?
(While trying not to give too much away) A lot of people didn’t “get it”, especially that part, when it first came out. It was missing A LOT, that’s why it was panned by critics and audiences.
Even though it makes less sense, I like to believe the straight up theory. I think the other way’s probably correct, though.
Incidentally, I don’t want to encourage your rival, but if you’re interested in the Blu-Ray copy, you might want to check THIS out. You could still buy it from B&N.
Have the Dodgers lost yet?
by DbacksSkins on
Jun 23, 2008 11:23 PM EDT
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That's not available right now
And the opium dream is something like the ending of Blade Runner. There’s enough evidence and foreshadowing to give validity to multiple interpretations, and that’s the beauty of it.
Roads? Where we're going we don't need roads.
by soco on
Jun 24, 2008 12:56 AM EDT
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I agree
with your appreciation of the multiple endings.
And the reason I posted that link is because you can sign up for them to email you when it’s coming out on Blu-Ray. That’s what I did when I was waiting a few years for the Kenneth Brannagh version of Hamlet to come out on DVD.
Have the Dodgers lost yet?
by DbacksSkins on
Jun 24, 2008 1:58 AM EDT
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Get it going , dammit!
An entire division under .500?
Why , it could only be the NL West TempestTeapot!
Aaron "Swag" Rowand
by victor frankenstein on
Jun 22, 2008 10:54 PM EDT
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Seriously.
Give us another 3 games, Vic. We’re not under .500 yet.
Wait—who are our next 3 games against?? Oh, the Red Sox…. crap.
Have the Dodgers lost yet?
by DbacksSkins on
Jun 23, 2008 10:17 AM EDT
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Diagnosing the Problem
In baseball especially, it’s hard to determine what needs to be fixed when a team tanks. That’s because it’s a game of streaks, because so many variables affect the outcome of a game, because so many intangibles make it unpredictable, and because when something goes wrong, everything seems to go wrong. Right now, not only has Arizona’s hitting gone from below average to non-existent, but huge cracks have appeared in the defense, the pitching is less consistent, and every other facet of the game, from base running to sacrificing, has gone south. Coaching decisions seem suspect, and even our beloved broadcasters seem to have lost perspective. (Is it really possible that every pitcher the Diamondbacks face is the next Cy Young?) The difference between the Diamondbacks that almost went to the World Series last year and the Diamondbacks that currently look like the worst team in baseball seems to be the slenderest of margins. So how do they fix it?
The successful MO of good pitching and defense combined with clutch hitting and aggressive base running seemed like a sound one for a long time with the Diamondbacks. Ultimately, though, I think it is the hitting, and more specifically the approach to hitting, that has let the team down. The absence of reliable run production – as well as the resultant sense of culpability on the part of the fielders – has put too much pressure on the defense, and that has now finally caught up with the pitching. A team can’t go into a game night after night thinking, "If we can just shut these guys out for nine innings, maybe we can pull it out in the tenth with a home run."
You never get that feeling of inevitability with the Diamondbacks that they’re going to put together a string of hits. There are way too many strikeouts in the lineup, and too many balls put in play off the pitcher’s pitch. Good hitters know that the first pitch is often the best one to hit, but the D-backs are very patient when it comes to waiting for a less hittable offering. Every hanging slider in the last month and a half has sailed over the middle of the plate, observed with admiration like an abstract at the Louvre. Why does Carlos Quentin have bigger numbers in two and a half months with the White Sox than he did in his whole career with the D-backs?
D-Backs hitters need to start making better contact, reacting to pitches, swinging at the strikes, anticipating the pitcher trying to get ahead in the count, stop guessing what the pitch is going to be, not worrying about going the other way with it, and just driving the thing where it’s pitched.
Probably worried about making quick outs, they’re becoming even more patient – tentative would be a better word – and trying to work pitchers deeper into the count. But a quick out happens because you hit the pitch the pitcher wants you to, or because you watch three perfect strikes waiting for your pitch, not because you went to 3-3 in the count. When you swing at the strikes, and consistently make solid contact, you don’t need to worry about making quick outs all the time. It would also be a helpful trick to learn how to foul off the close pitches rather than hope for a walk.
Anyway, I just think the approach to hitting on the team is really the card that’s causing the rest of the house to collapse. A good hitting pitcher should be a bonus, not the best chance of putting up a run all night. The problem is probably a combination of the lineup and coaching. And no doubt the problem is amplified by a club mired in a team-wide hitting slump. However, given the fact that there are a number of underachieving players, along with a number of young players who need someone who will be a teacher, I think you have to start with coaching and hitting instruction specifically.
Chris Young is not a .230 hitter. Although we’re supposed to believe that it’s in the makeup of some players to strike out a high percentage of the time, there’s no reason that Reynolds and Upton can’t make good contact almost every time up. Byrnes was struggling before his injury. And on and on it goes. You’re not going to drastically change a lineup that only missed the World Series because of a flash-in-the-pan team last year. You can’t change many of the position players, even if the O in O-dog stands for overrated. I think most people believe very much in Melvin and the team’s overall talent level. But something’s not clicking, and it’s seemingly an endemic problem.
Anyone have Tony Gwynn’s number? His approach to hitting is the one the D-backs need.
by aricat on
Jun 23, 2008 2:26 AM EDT
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Thanks for an insightful post. When we had that post asking what was the problem with the DBacks, I voted for “hitting” although I was thinking to myself that I couldn’t vote for hitting since they didn’t hit. I appreciate your point of view on the tentative nature of the batting. Somebody else pointed out that the team was batting at this same abysmal level last year, and the hitting coach was fired because of it. So what should they do this year? Try another coach? Tell the players to get more aggressive? There is some sense to being patient at the plate and it’s foolish to just swing at the first pitch; but standing there looking at the ball go by doesn’t bring home the bacon either. Obviously something more aggresive has to be done. You don’t often win games where you’ve only scored one run.
And the defense! Oy. They seem so Little League out there, with apologies to Little League. It seems to build on itself, or at least it did in this past series.
How to rebuild the confidence of April?
It's like living with a six-year old.
by 4 Corners Fan on
Jun 23, 2008 10:54 AM EDT
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Great post
I copied it over to the ‘Fixing the Diamondbacks’ thread, as this topic here will be sliding down the page quite quickly, and it’d be a shame to lose this reponse. I merged it with your correction and further thoughts, which you posted below. Welcome to the Pit!
by Jim McLennan on
Jun 23, 2008 12:05 PM EDT
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Hey thanks,
Still trying to find my way around the site, but am enjoying it so far!
-Andy
by aricat on
Jun 24, 2008 3:38 AM EDT
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I meant to say, “not because you went 0-3 in the count” (paragraph 5). But more importantly, maybe it’s lame to put the onus of a team’s problems on the hitting coach. I know nothing about Rick, except that he was a .246 career hitter, and was a journeyman player. Are the best teachers necessarily the best at what they teach? No, but still, we’re trying to go all the way here, not pull another Phoenix Suns…
by aricat on
Jun 23, 2008 4:51 AM EDT
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Wel,, that explains that...
From the Republic: “Hudson was the designated hitter Sunday. Melvin said he wanted him to have a partial day off after fouling multiple balls off his foot and ankle in recent games.” This does mitigate the decision to play him as DH – though kinda odd to pick the role that gives him nothing to do except the possibility of fouling more balls off! :-)
by Jim McLennan on
Jun 23, 2008 11:59 AM EDT
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True. It is rather difficult to foul balls off your feet/ankles when you are playing 2nd base. Maybe what we needed yesterday was a DF, a designated fielder, for O-Dawg to play in the field but keep him from batting and thus fouling pitches off his ankles and feet.
My co-worker said first thing to me today, “Boy do the Diamondbacks suck! But I still love ‘em!” I feel the same way. They suck bad, but they’re my team and I love them anyway.
by TwinnerA on
Jun 23, 2008 1:05 PM EDT
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This is the only "good" thing I can glean from this entire recap and comment section:
"Boy do the Diamondbacks suck! But I still love ‘em!" I feel the same way. They suck bad, but they’re my team and I love them anyway.
It may sound excessively negative, and it is. But THIS is the kind of mindset espoused by diehard fans. THESE are the kinds of people upon whom we can build a longterm fanbase. Sentiment like this is the only thing that keeps drawing fans to Pirates or Royals games, and we have a chance to grow a much better and bigger fanbase than either of those teams.
Have the Dodgers lost yet?
by DbacksSkins on
Jun 23, 2008 6:20 PM EDT
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It's the way I feel
and probably most here, but here’s hoping we don’t cross the line into Cubbie Blue level ;-)
Roads? Where we're going we don't need roads.
by soco on
Jun 23, 2008 7:17 PM EDT
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Well
I didn’t say anything about us being tested by reliving the 2004 season for another century….
;-)
Have the Dodgers lost yet?
by DbacksSkins on
Jun 23, 2008 11:29 PM EDT
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