Weekend Update
As noted by 'skins, Arizona signed Travis Blackley, though I think it's a bit of a stretch - to put it mildly - to claim that he is the replacement for Randy Johnson mentioned by Jeff Moorad in his chat. No-one would have thought Blackley a replacement for Johnson two days before Moorad's comments, so I tend to think any such opinion is almost entirely the result of unfortunate timing. Nick Piecoro reports it's a minimum-salary deal, even if he reaches the majors, which reinforces my belief this is just taking a flier on someone with potential. Blackley is out of options too, which suggests he'll probably be a candidate for one of the three remaining bullpen spots on Opening Day.
if you didn't see kishi's fanshot [and judging by the lack of reaction, most of you didn't], the Diamondbacks announced their tentative spring-training schedule, starting with a February 25th game against the Rockies at Hi Corbett, and ending with two games against the White Sox at Chase on April 3rd and 4th - so we'll get to see Carlos Quentin patrolling the outfield once again. They also play the Mexican national side twice, on March 4th and 6th, as a warm-up for the WBC. Other dates to note include a trip to Mesa to face the Cubs on March 2nd; a game against the Giants on March 3rd; and their first game in Glendale against the Dodgers, on March 10th.
Those of us in the Valley who work regular hours are short on chances to see the team cheaply, as the majority of the weekend games are down in Tucson [albeit not for much longer...] The exceptions are Sunday games on March 8th/22nd at Peoria, against Seattle and Oakland; and Saturday March 14th, but that's out in Surprise against Kansas City. It'd almost be quicker for us to drive down to Tucson Electric Park. Tickets to all the TEP games go on sale January 24th, but other teams have their own release dates: the Mariners open January 10th, and the A's are already selling theirs. Curiously, however, they say they are playing the White Sox, not the D-backs, on the 22nd, but the White Sox don't think so, according to their schedule.
Not quite sure how I missed this story, which slid into the media a couple of weeks ago: D-backs overtaking Suns as local favorite.
The Arizona Diamondbacks are within striking distance of overtaking the Phoenix Suns to become the fans’ top team in this market. The Suns ranked No. 37 among all professional sports teams in the country, with the D-backs closing in at No. 39, according to a study to be released next week by New Jersey-based Turnkey Sports and Entertainment. Turnkey assesses the strength of pro sports brands among hometown fans. In last year’s inaugural Turnkey Team Brand Index, the Suns ranked No. 26 and the D-backs were No. 52.
It'd be fascinating to see full details of the study, but Turnkey Brands want a cool $1,500 for the Phoenix chapter alone, so I won't be seeing that. The site did tell me, "The 2008 results derive from a scientific survey of 12,000 sports fans in 47 U.S. and Canadian markets. TTBI measures and maps a team’s brand in its own home town." Very interesting to note a neutral survey showing the public perception of and brand loyalty to the Diamondbacks as improving over the past year, despite the lack of a title. This would seem to run counter to the views of certain critics, shall we say. In case you're curious, the Packers were top among the 122 pro sports franchises, followed by the Red Sox, Steelers and Patriots.
The Diamondbacks have announced the results of their 2009 season-ticket scholarship program, and have more than doubled the number of recipients, going from seven last year to 18 families this season. That's a total of 41 lower-level season tickets valued at nearly $100,000; they had over 100 nominations, and those who did not receive season tickets will get tickets to games throughout the 2009 season. I think it's more evidence that the economy is significantly hurting a lot of families around the Valley [we are certainly not immune there]. Discretionary dollars for entertainment look like they're going to be tight in 2009, which could affect everything from sports teams to cinemas.
Brandon Webb won't be playing for the US in the World Baseball Classic. He must truly hate freedom. :-) "I want to fully prepare for the 2009 Major League season and hopefully bring the playoffs back to Arizona," his statement said: the story also says that Dan Haren is "leaning toward not participating." Particularly for our starting pitchers, I am fully behind this decision: though they'd be pitching anyway, in spring training, the increased effort resulting from playing for your country, would seem to increase the potential risk of injury. That's something this team absolutely wants to avoid - given our severe lack of depth, I don't think it's any exaggeration to say losing Webb would be the end of our playoff aspirations.
Looks like the team has, for the moment, given up on trading Miguel Montero or Chris Snyder, Josh Byrnes now saying, "I think the odds have shifted. We've spent a lot of the off-season assessing and nothing has motivated us to this point. At some point, you have to say, 'OK, we kicked the tires and nothing in trade exceeds the value of keeping both, so we'll keep them both.'" No rush on this front, though it'll be interesting to see if the mooted long-term deal for Snyder gets completed; if so, then we will probably be looking to turn Montero into something else. Of course, it may also depend on how new third catcher 'Jack' Skelton shapes up.
Misguided and Sloppy Analysis of the Week award goes to Patrick Sullivan of the Baseball Analysts, who wrote:
A lineup that was supposed to all rise up as one and become Major League standouts in 2008 decided to put it off a year. Stephen Drew, Chris Young, Conor Jackson and Justin Upton - potential superstars all - did not hit the way the D-Backs needed them to in 2008 in order for them to repeat as division champs.
I guess he missed the parts where Stephen Drew (OPS+ 110) was the second-best hitting shortstop in all of baseball, Conor Jackson (OPS+ 110) batted .300, Upton (OPS+ 107) had the best OPS of any 20-year old since A-Rod [and before him, Ken Griffey Jr], and the team as a whole scored more runs than they did in their division-winning year of 2007. No: whatever the team's problems were, blaming those four is almost entirely incorrect, and seems like extremely lazy writing to me. More useful, though perhaps just confirming what we knew to some extent, is a Beyond the Box-Score Fanpost on Effects of Blowouts and 1-run Games on Pythag record, inspired largely by Arizona's over-performance in 2007. Turns out we were good in one-run games, not so good in blowouts, but even allowing for those, still outperformed Pythagoras by about five games.
Couple of pieces of information outside Chase, but still related to the Diamondbacks. Matt Blake of fanster.com wrote a piece reviewing the eating and drinking options around Chase Field. Which might just get me to knock the dust off an article I've had almost completed for months, looking at the reports of health inspectors on the various establishments in the area of the ballpark... And if you're used to parking for free at the downtown meters on your way to games, watch out - because you won't be able to do that in 2009. Phoenix are extending the hours of meter operation from 5pm to 8pm, every day bar Sunday. They're also hiking the cost from 60 cents to $1.50 per hour, presumably also an effort to cut into the city's $250m budget shortfall. At that rate, there's previous little saving on the event parking prices at the private garages.
Finally, if you're a programmer looking for a job opportunity and know Ruby on Rails, the SB Nation are looking for a developer. It would be nice if it were someone from the 'Pit, so I have a direct line to you any time I need something done. :-)
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46 comments
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Comments
Jay's post from "Let's Go Tribe"....
What C.C. is really saying: “I want to have the postseason gift-wrapped like a special gift for me, every single year. I don’t want to have to compete for it and earn it.”
The Brewers and Indians will compete for the postseason. Every player will have to kick and scratch. The Yankees will not compete; they’ll just buy it.
Whole article is a good read: “It’s Official-Sabathia is a Jackass”
Back to the topic at hand… The remaining Suns fans can thank Stern for destroying the NBA, imo. I’m a Suns fan period. I could care less about other teams, players, whatever. So I am glad to hear the DBacks moving on up the list, that makes me happy.
Despite the vehement protest of Hack, the facts from where I stand, have always pointed to a growing acceptance and excitement for our baseball team.
If Phoenix is getting cheap with the meters, look out for saturation DUI patrols after games then. That is a sure fire money maker for cities.
It's a job that's never started that takes the longest to finish.
by unnamedDBacksfan on Dec 20, 2008 2:28 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
sour grapes
I understand the frustration Milwaukee fans must have at losing Sabathia, but this is pure sour grapes. Sabathia tried to stay out of NY, not the other way around. What did the Yankees end up paying him, $80M more than the Brewers’ offer? $50M more than the next highest offer? C’mon. You can’t begrudge a guy for taking nearly twice the money. I know the old “what’s the difference between that kind of money” argument will pop up, but there is a significant difference.
Besides, Sabathia probably did Milwaukee a favor. They can’t have that kind of money tied up in one player.
"There are only two seasons: winter and baseball"
-- Bill Veeck
by njjohn on Dec 20, 2008 11:35 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Call me crazy
but I’m kind of excited to see what the Yankees can do with this even more ridiculous team they’re assembling.
You keep on rowin', and I'll keep on smilin'.
by soco on Dec 21, 2008 12:12 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Talent will only take you so far
How do you buy heart and soul?
It's a job that's never started that takes the longest to finish.
by unnamedDBacksfan on Dec 21, 2008 1:03 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Don't worry, man
"That's a cop-out, and you know it, and it breaks my heart into a thousand pieces that we ain't gonna save America with your blog today."
by kishi on Dec 21, 2008 1:10 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
And it's on sale!
Lucky for the yankees!
lol
It's a job that's never started that takes the longest to finish.
by unnamedDBacksfan on Dec 21, 2008 1:12 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
And free shipping!
When you’re dropping millions on every big free agent who comes around, it never hurts to save a little cash on the rest of your transactions.
"That's a cop-out, and you know it, and it breaks my heart into a thousand pieces that we ain't gonna save America with your blog today."
by kishi on Dec 21, 2008 1:19 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Would it matter?
They’d make the purchase no matter WHAT the price. We all know that.
#33, Washington Redskin 1937-1952, Pro Football HOF Class of 1963.
Rest In Peace, Slingin' Sammy Baugh
by DbacksSkins on Dec 21, 2008 3:53 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
It's not that hard.
Jerry Colangelo was able to buy heart and soul. At least until the creditors came calling.
But it’s only buying a championship when the Yankees do it, of course.
by dahlian on Dec 21, 2008 4:25 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
one hit wonders:
how much heart and soul was in that?
It's a job that's never started that takes the longest to finish.
by unnamedDBacksfan on Dec 21, 2008 4:29 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Preaching to the choir here.
Diamondhacks and foulpole, however, would like to talk to you….
Ceci n'est pas une signature.
by DbacksSkins on Dec 21, 2008 8:21 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Well, it would
be IF this was written by a Brewer fan, but I double checked, it is from a Cleveland fan.
It's a job that's never started that takes the longest to finish.
by unnamedDBacksfan on Dec 21, 2008 1:03 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
"It doesn’t matter if he’s a great family man and loves his kids and all that."
Oh yeah, this is most definitely a thoughtful, well-argued and dispassionate assessment of C.C.’s decision to sign.
by dahlian on Dec 21, 2008 4:23 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
tell him then
don’t whine to me
It's a job that's never started that takes the longest to finish.
by unnamedDBacksfan on Dec 21, 2008 4:25 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Hey, wait a second --
you’re being sarcastic, aren’t you?? I’m on to you….
Ceci n'est pas une signature.
by DbacksSkins on Dec 21, 2008 8:28 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Tempting...
Though I know my experience is not up to what they’re looking for, if I hadn’t just taken another development job, I would consider applying for that one. :)
by snakecharmer on Dec 20, 2008 3:19 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
If the Blackly guy gets a bullpen spot...
… the only action he better get is caring the “goodie” backpack back and forth.
Jules: Tell 'em, Vincent.
Vincent: A (Eddie) Royale with cheese.
Jules: A (Eddie) Royale with cheese! You know why they call it that?
Brett: Because of the metric system?
Jules: Check out the big brain on Brett! You're a smart mother******. That's right. The metric system.
by Elway4Prez on Dec 20, 2008 4:10 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Southpaw Strategy
Although I agree that in no way should Blackley be considered as a replacement for Johnson, I think that the last two D-backs moves are indicative of their strategy to shore up the relief. There were way too many solid games pitched by Haren and Webby that should not have unraveled. Although Blackley’s stats are questionable the move seems to be to get a bullpen that can pitch better to lefties. We will see. Great post btw.
Because there are zero months without baseball in AZ.
by azhardball on Dec 20, 2008 9:46 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Drew 2nd best?
Not that Sullivan’s close to right or anything, but I have HanRam, Jose Reyes and JJ Hardy all outhitting Drew in OPS+ last season. Mike Aviles, too, in well over 400 PA’s, but I could see not counting him if you’re talking qualifieds only. I’m sure there’s probably some hitting measure Drew’s ahead of Reyes and Hardy with, I’m just curious what you’re rating him 2nd by if not OPS+ since that’s what you mention.
by Rox Girl on Dec 20, 2008 10:03 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Straight OPS
Rates Drew second, trailing only Ramirez, among shortstops with 250 PAs..
http://www.bb-ref.com/pi/shareit/5q8c
Probably questionable as a metric, admittedly. :-)
by Jim McLennan on Dec 20, 2008 10:13 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Definitely more impressive sounding than fifth though...
I did just notice that Drew’s second in WPA among SS to HanRam at FanGraphs, too, so you could use his clutchiness as a fall back. I keep trying to find some reason to believe that 2008 was a fluke for him hitting wise and 2007 was more along what to expect, but I haven’t been able to convince myself yet. He just generates too many line drives to be taken lightly.
by Rox Girl on Dec 20, 2008 10:32 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I did notice
His spectacular home/road splits – his OPS was only .755 outside of Chase. Seems like another shortstop of our acquaintance. :-) Though I think a large chunk of that was because he only had one of his eleven triples on the road.
by Jim McLennan on Dec 21, 2008 12:08 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Didn’t they used to play a lot more split-squad games during Spring Training? I was surprised to see only one. Wonder if that’s a side-effect of the longer schedule, thanks to the WBC.
I think they’re having a few glitches on those schedules, by the by- looks like they fixed the issue on the 22nd, since now they say the D-backs are playing the Padres, but they still say the D-backs and the Rockies are playing in Surprise on the 30th, while the Rockies say it’s in Tucson. Wonder if things will change too much before February.
"That's a cop-out, and you know it, and it breaks my heart into a thousand pieces that we ain't gonna save America with your blog today."
by kishi on Dec 21, 2008 12:26 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Very interesting to note a neutral survey showing the public perception of and brand loyalty to the Diamondbacks as improving over the past year, despite the lack of a title. This would seem to run counter to the views ofcertain criticsmine, shall we say.
by Diamondhacks on Dec 21, 2008 8:23 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Not entirely.
If you’ll recall, I supported your position as well.
Ceci n'est pas une signature.
by DbacksSkins on Dec 21, 2008 8:47 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I appreciate your eleventh hour solidarity
on this particular issue, skins, but if you think “certain critics” is primarily directed at anyone beyond me and foulpole, I respectfully believe you’re mistaken.
Part of this is, I’m sure, an honest misunderstanding, caused by my sloppy writing above. Since the block quote is Jim’s, “mine” was supposed to refer to Jim, not me. But I can see how you’d interpret it as “Hacks”, even after reading my rebuttal. Thx for bringing the double meaning to my attn.
Cheers
by Diamondhacks on Dec 22, 2008 1:22 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
If you want to think I meant you
Have fun. Given you are the person banging the drum with most relentlessness on this topic – the rest of us having moved on beyond pining for purple – it’s hardly a startling conclusion.
But, sheesh: you’re using a survey from two entire baseball seasons ago, or possibly older, as the thrust of your argument? I expected better than that from….well, actually, I didn’t.
by Jim McLennan on Dec 22, 2008 1:56 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Gee
I link a remarkably detailed, five year study (actually, it’s longer than that) on comparative satisfaction,with methodology, even-handed caveats about some results, and extensive commentary – and instead of acknowledging any of these thousands and thousands of respondents over the years, all you can do is tear it – and me – down.
With not a fact. Just anger.
Dont you think it’s high time we closed this thread?
by Diamondhacks on Dec 22, 2008 2:32 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm sorry
I thought we were talking about the current perception of the team in this town – not how they were seen two (or more) seasons ago, by a self-selected sample of ESPN-ites across the entire world.
Got anything there?
Didn’t think so.
by Jim McLennan on Dec 22, 2008 2:48 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
So, you're answering for me
as well, now? How chivalrous ;-)
Perhaps I shouldnt talk at all. Is that what you’re trying to say?
If you wanna talk current perceptions, by all means bring it on. I’m guessing the Turnkey survey doesnt say anything inconsistent with what I’ve been saying, but you never know. Like you, I’d like to take a closer look at it.
P.S. – thx for visiting my site and expressing yourself. your comments will never be deleted or pre-empted there, but they have been mercilessly shredded :-)
by Diamondhacks on Dec 22, 2008 5:36 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Mercilessly shredded?
Dammit. I was disappointed. I was expecting more sneering about kilt-wearing, or my de facto membership of the ‘wine and cheese’ set. Instead, that was like being savaged by a dead sheep. :-)
by Jim McLennan on Dec 22, 2008 7:17 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Did you see the NYT
article on Clay? What are your thoughts on that?
Why aren’t we bagging on the local media for failing yet again in covering OUR teams? It’s stories like this that will connect the fans to their team. And yet here we have to get it from New York?
This on going “debate” on which FO was more popular is accomplishing nothing, imo, and does not do a damn thing to help the team.
It's a job that's never started that takes the longest to finish.
by unnamedDBacksfan on Dec 21, 2008 9:10 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
The idea
that these ‘possum to ’coon, rags to riches stories connect fans to the team is a great point, and this was a fun example. I’ll be rooting for him.
As far as The Republic and the NYT, it goes both ways. The Times has more resources, and better writers, to drive opinion – and it’s not always favorable to the home team, either :-) Locally, you’re right. The Republic doesnt do much of this in depth character study to “benefit” the team, but they are also an unusually pro business, major metro newspaper, and neither do they critically investigate the franchise like some other outlets do. Driven, Horatio Alger excess is more the bailiwick of Daron Sutton.
As far as the FO brouhaha, my views on the subject are an unwelcome threat here, and out of respect for what is still good about this site, I wont expound here, beyond simply noting that knowledge is power.
by Diamondhacks on Dec 22, 2008 2:12 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Blog fight!
Blog fight!
You keep on rowin', and I'll keep on smilin'.
by soco on Dec 21, 2008 10:43 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Is that like
a Borg fight?
It's a job that's never started that takes the longest to finish.
by unnamedDBacksfan on Dec 21, 2008 11:31 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I dunno
I’m a terrible nerd.
You keep on rowin', and I'll keep on smilin'.
by soco on Dec 21, 2008 11:39 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Pull his nerd card!
My goodness, what is the world coming to?
Ακόμη και ένα ρολόι που δεν λειτουργεί είναι σωστό δύο φορές την ημέρα.
by unnamedDBacksfan on Dec 22, 2008 12:32 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I know
I know! I’m a sham to my own people.
You keep on rowin', and I'll keep on smilin'.
by soco on Dec 22, 2008 7:10 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Ah.....
one of ‘em self-hatin’ nerds?
Ceci n'est pas une signature.
by DbacksSkins on Dec 22, 2008 11:08 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Naw
I think it’s like a “your momma” fight, but instead you make fun of their hosting.
"That's a cop-out, and you know it, and it breaks my heart into a thousand pieces that we ain't gonna save America with your blog today."
by kishi on Dec 22, 2008 12:56 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Or a
Ceci n'est pas une signature.
by DbacksSkins on Dec 22, 2008 4:53 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
+1
Ακόμη και ένα ρολόι που δεν λειτουργεί είναι σωστό δύο φορές την ημέρα.
by unnamedDBacksfan on Dec 22, 2008 5:10 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
As noted by ‘skins, Arizona signed Travis Blackley, though I think it’s a bit of a stretch – to put it mildly – to claim that he is the replacement for Randy Johnson mentioned by Jeff Moorad in his chat.
Tongue, meet cheek….
Ceci n'est pas une signature.
by DbacksSkins on Dec 22, 2008 6:36 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

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