Hot Stove Part Deux
Looks like the other diary got locked, so I'll start up a new one.
I still don't see Beane taking these 3 mid-high level prospects for him. Not unless the "package including" means that it's those 3 and a major leaguer.
There are those that are crazy high on Haren and those who call him a good #3 that had a career year. The question I have is: How many strike-out/fly ball pitchers have come to Arizona and succeeded? Johnson... Schilling... I'm not saying he'll be Claudio Vargas, but I think it could be something close to Javier Vasquez.
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90 comments
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I think he's at least
by seton hall snake pit on Dec 10, 2007 11:33 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Bedard
by nihil67 on Dec 10, 2007 4:55 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
The opinion of an A's fan
I have a question for the snake faithful. Well, 3 questions.
Do the D'backs really want to shell out big money on Valverde? If they don't, do you think they'd be interested in Huston Street? And if they are interested in Street, do you think a package of Street plus Haren puts Justin Upton on the table?
by grover on Dec 10, 2007 9:02 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
more than likely
by seton hall snake pit on Dec 10, 2007 9:30 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Really?
You think you can trade Valverde and not worry about upgrading the bullpen? Who would close, Lyon?
by grover on Dec 10, 2007 10:10 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Pena or Lyon
by seton hall snake pit on Dec 10, 2007 10:45 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Huh
by grover on Dec 10, 2007 10:56 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, SP
The only Indians that would interest me are Fausto Carmona, Aaron Laffey, Adam Miller, and maybe Jake Westbrook. No thanks on Cliff Lee, which seems to be the guy they want to deal.
by nihil67 on Dec 10, 2007 11:24 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I think most everyone would like Carmona!
by grover on Dec 10, 2007 11:47 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
JUpton is a keeper
by Counsellmember on Dec 10, 2007 10:01 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
If Street+Haren doesn't equal
I have yet to see the player that cannot be traded. Babe Ruth got traded, Cy Young got traded, A-Rod got traded, Justin Upton can be dealt.
by grover on Dec 10, 2007 10:14 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Here's the problem
by nihil67 on Dec 10, 2007 10:35 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Fair enough
As to the bigger question, what would it take for the D'backs to trade Upton? Don't tell me he's untouchable, history says otherwise. You don't have to say names, just job descriptions. Obviously at the top of the list is a #2 caliber SP with pretensions of Acehood. What else?
by grover on Dec 10, 2007 10:40 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
it would take
by seton hall snake pit on Dec 10, 2007 10:48 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
So sign him to an extension
by grover on Dec 10, 2007 10:58 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Neither
by nihil67 on Dec 10, 2007 11:07 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I'd say
by nihil67 on Dec 10, 2007 11:12 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
So Haren for Upton is plausible?
by grover on Dec 10, 2007 11:48 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Not for me it's not
by nihil67 on Dec 11, 2007 7:40 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
First thing I did was call him a #2
by grover on Dec 11, 2007 8:38 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Haren v Wang
by johngordonma on Dec 11, 2007 12:54 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I think you're investing too much
by grover on Dec 11, 2007 1:42 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, I am
by nihil67 on Dec 11, 2007 2:52 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Furthermore
The implication is Blanton is a better bet to be part of a deal that lands Upton and THAT is just weird.
by grover on Dec 11, 2007 2:49 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
I don't know why they aren't interested in Blanton. I've said in another diary that Blanton would be my target. The first red flag with him is the disparity of his home/road stats. He's been fairly terrible outside of Oakland.
by nihil67 on Dec 11, 2007 2:53 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
And
by nihil67 on Dec 11, 2007 3:14 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
What about Young?
Why would the A's trade a prime chip like Haren and satisfy none of their needs?
by grover on Dec 11, 2007 3:21 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Why indeed
by nihil67 on Dec 11, 2007 3:24 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I never would have asked for Webb
by grover on Dec 11, 2007 4:21 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Which lets us know you aren't...
by azshadowwalker on Dec 14, 2007 6:40 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
<shuffles in quietly>
<begins to hum and spread clairvoyant auras>
Om mani padme hum. You don't really want Dan Haren. Om mani padme hum. You'd miss Emilio Bonifacio too much. Om mani padme hum. You don't really want a Haren/Webb twosome. Om mani padme hum.....
<meditates>
by Silverblood on Dec 11, 2007 3:11 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Improved Kurdora offer?
by seton hall snake pit on Dec 11, 2007 9:07 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
or did he cut it?
by seton hall snake pit on Dec 11, 2007 9:08 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
OK, sensing an attachment to Upton
I've sensed that AZ is reluctant to give big money to Valverde and what I've read here supports that feeling. I think the Diamondbacks would be interested in Street if they traded Valverde. If you pay the guy you already have then I withdraw the Street idea altogether. But if you trade Valverde... I don't see how the D'Backs can expect to contend with what's left in the bullpen. Pena could keep improving. Lyon's been healthy two years running and he's a plus. But Cruz has been unreliable his entire career and Slaten was a rookie.
by grover on Dec 11, 2007 9:22 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
you don't seem to understand
by seton hall snake pit on Dec 11, 2007 11:04 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yup
Closers are just too easy to find.
by AZSEAfan on Dec 11, 2007 1:01 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
talking to the wrong team
by johngordonma on Dec 11, 2007 1:04 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Pena or Lyon? OK
(Sorry, he pitched for Oakland.)
If you trust Cruz in the 9th you're going to hate yourself in the morning.
Scherzer will be an Athletic if you have Haren.
by grover on Dec 11, 2007 1:52 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Scherzer has already been named
by seton hall snake pit on Dec 11, 2007 2:52 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You've got too many untouchables to land Haren
Arizona is going to have to take a name off the "untouchable" list if they really want Haren.
by grover on Dec 11, 2007 3:18 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
We don't HAVE to have him
by seton hall snake pit on Dec 11, 2007 3:32 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
So, you're willing to roll
You're right, you don't need Haren. You do need another SP and as long as the Dodgers don't land Bedard you should be able to get by with a solid, not great arm.
by grover on Dec 11, 2007 4:40 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Of course we need another SP
by seton hall snake pit on Dec 11, 2007 4:44 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Well, no
You need another SP and you have the pieces to land one. I'm just not sure Valverde is the guy to get your shopping done. How many teams need a closer caliber bullpen arm and have spare SP? I'm not sure if Cleveland is shopping for a bullpen arm and Milwaukee just signed Gagne and Riske.
by grover on Dec 11, 2007 5:21 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
you misunderstand
Cruz's numbers bear that out: 3.10 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 205 BAA. I never called Cruz a candidate to close or better than Street or any other ridiculous thing, I merely said that the fact that Cruz was very solid last year and was still buried on our depth chart shows how solid our pen was.
by johngordonma on Dec 11, 2007 3:48 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You aren't going to have Scherzer
I'm not trying to be difficult but I don't see the minor league arms you're referring to. Stange looks at least a year away, after him are there a couple older guys (25 and above) that you're referring to?
Forget Street. I got that message. I don't see how you can trade Valverde and be fine in the bullpen. Pena to closer, fine. But after him?
by grover on Dec 11, 2007 1:49 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Fine in the Bullpen
by dbackerinparadise on Dec 11, 2007 2:30 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You'll have to forgive me
As for valuing durability, you've got Randy Johnson pencilled in as your 4th SP.
by grover on Dec 11, 2007 2:46 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Durability clarified
We differ on Cruz. I think, as a 7th inning guy, he can be reliable. I concur that he isn't a setup man or a closer, but I think he can and will be a hell of a middle reliever.
by dbackerinparadise on Dec 11, 2007 2:52 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I think you're opinion is colored...
2004: 72 IP, ERA+ 157
2006: 94.2 IP, ERA+ 113*
2007: 61 IP, ERA+ 152
* - in 2006, he was mostly a starter, as a reliever, he had a 3.32 ERA and kept batters to a .153 average. I think he's a perfectly adequate 7th-inning guy.
And how's Brad Halsey working out for you? :-)
by Jim McLennan on Dec 11, 2007 3:42 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Ouch!
by seton hall snake pit on Dec 11, 2007 3:49 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
not to mention
by johngordonma on Dec 11, 2007 3:50 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Everything touched by the Hudson trade
I think Cruz is a stretch in the 7th and incapable of performing in the 8th or 9th if something should happen to Lyon or Pena.
If he's the 4th guy in line like he was for you in 2007 then you're fine.
by grover on Dec 11, 2007 4:20 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Chris Young
And the thing is, you're not dealing with us, you're dealing with the FO, and the FO ain't gonna deal Young for anybody.
by johngordonma on Dec 11, 2007 12:57 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Young is ML proven
by grover on Dec 11, 2007 1:50 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
but
by johngordonma on Dec 11, 2007 3:41 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Good luck
by grover on Dec 11, 2007 4:16 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
and good luck to you
My point isn't that I don't want Haren. I'd LOVE to have Haren. I'm just saying that Young is a comparable young talent.
by johngordonma on Dec 11, 2007 4:47 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I'll give you comparable
At this point Dan Haren is simply the better player and any deal between these two teams should acknowledge that.
by grover on Dec 11, 2007 5:37 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Condensed
B) We don't need bullpen (unless it gets blown up via trades)
C) CY and Upton are pretty much as close to untouchable as you're going to get in the Diamondback's network.
D)The longer this drags on the more I doubt any deal will be done. The A's will most likely keep Haren and we most likely will have to look elsewhere or pray to the mighty St. Penelope for mercy.
by soco on Dec 11, 2007 6:54 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks for the time folks!
by grover on Dec 11, 2007 6:01 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Kuroda
by nihil67 on Dec 11, 2007 10:05 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Kuroda, Iguchi, Fukudome
The Padres have signed 2B Iguchi to a 1 year deal.
And, as mentioned in the Iguchi story, the Cubs have reportedly agreed to a deal with RF Fukudome on a 4 year, $48mil contract.
by nihil67 on Dec 12, 2007 8:26 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Movement
Giants have signed Aaron Rowand to a 5 year deal.
by nihil67 on Dec 12, 2007 4:13 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I've got a fever...
There has been a recent increase in signings and trades all of a sudden. I've got a feeling that with Johan probably not going anywhere anytime soon, everyone has decided to go ahead with what they have planned. If the D'Backs are gonna make a move I have a feeling it's gonna be really soon!
by seton hall snake pit on Dec 12, 2007 4:29 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Astros and Giants
by johngordonma on Dec 12, 2007 4:47 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
by Mr. Philosophical on Dec 12, 2007 5:57 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
30
by johngordonma on Dec 12, 2007 11:24 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Adam Everett Non-Tendered
I suppose it'd be putting a lot of faith in Drew improving his offense.
by nihil67 on Dec 12, 2007 11:45 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Nevermind
by nihil67 on Dec 12, 2007 11:47 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Wow
by nihil67 on Dec 13, 2007 1:06 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Interesting move
by AZSEAfan on Dec 13, 2007 1:40 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Other non-tendered players of interest
Cubs - Mark Prior. The Diamondbacks don't do incentive contracts, but should make an exception here.
Yankees - Matt DeSalvo and Darrell Rasner. I'm not sure on the rules because DeSalvo only came up to the bigs last year. He's a 2-seam/4-seam/change/curve/slider/forkball guy that has had control issues, but seems to have talent. His fastball sinks well, supposedly, and his best pitch is his change. Rasner is kind of a AAAA guy that I think needs to be moved to the bullpen. He's also had some injury issues hold him back. Both will be 27 next season.
Rangers - Akinori Otsuka. The injury must still be a concern.
Blue Jays - Josh Towers. Doesn't walk people much, but also struggles with keeping the ball down at times.
by nihil67 on Dec 13, 2007 9:31 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
mmmm...
by johngordonma on Dec 13, 2007 10:26 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, maybe
The Diamondbacks don't do any of that, which is kind of a shame, but oh well. He wouldn't take it anyway. There will be a team that offers him a big league deal for 1-2 years with performance bonuses and a team option year or two. My best guesses are Houston, either Chicago team, Seattle, or Baltimore.
by nihil67 on Dec 13, 2007 11:00 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Besides,
by AZSEAfan on Dec 13, 2007 1:42 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I'd
by johngordonma on Dec 13, 2007 1:58 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Callaspo Traded
"Buckner, a labrum surgery survivor, has a plus curveball according to Baseball Prospectus' Kevin Goldstein. Goldstein adds that he's able to get groundballs and projects as a fourth starter. Throw him in the NL, maybe he could even become a #3."
I like it. Thoughts?
by pepperdinedevil on Dec 14, 2007 3:31 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I'm looking into it
by seton hall snake pit on Dec 14, 2007 3:58 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Decent
I like it and I hope this means that the FO thinks Hudson will sign long term.
by nihil67 on Dec 14, 2007 4:04 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Good write-up
http://royaltower.blogspot.com/2007/10/trt-prospect-3-billy-buckner.html
They may be a little high on him in the crystal ball.
by nihil67 on Dec 14, 2007 4:06 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You guys think this is
by seton hall snake pit on Dec 14, 2007 4:13 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Nice move
by johngordonma on Dec 14, 2007 4:21 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
by pepperdinedevil on Dec 14, 2007 5:35 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
And 34 mimutes later...
by Jim McLennan on Dec 14, 2007 10:01 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

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