The Prodigal Returneth
Welcome back to Arizona, Randy. We know you liked it here: four Cy Youngs, a World Series ring and co-MVP, a record of 103-49, and that miniscule 2.65 ERA in almost 1,400 innings of work, with 1832 K's. Though you left in a bit of a huff, who can blame you after winning almost one-third of all our games in 2004? But this isn't those Diamondbacks any more: the only regulars surviving from that roster are Tracy and some guy called Webb, whom you might have heard mention of on the East coast. He's pretty good.*
The formal parameters of the deal have not as yet been made clear, but it appears to be as follows. The official line is as follows: we have agreed a deal with the Yankees, that sends Johnson back to Arizona in exchange for reliever Luis Vizcaino, Minor League prospects and $2m in cash. Josh Byrnes declined to say which prospects are involved in the deal, but we'll get to those very shortly. We now have a 72-hour window to discuss the contract status with the Big Unit's agents Barry Meister and Alan Nero. This serves two purposes, to get him officially to waive his no-trade clause, and to come to terms on a contract extension for 2008.
Of course, the phrase "Minor League prospects" bears a little closer examination, since the crucial part of the deal was what we'd have to give back to the Yankees. The good news is, nothing of stunning significance, or so it appears thus far. The names which are apparently being mentioned are Ross Ohlendorf, right-hand pitcher Steven Jackson (a 2.65 ERA in 24 Double-A starts, but got torched in the AFL) and Alberto Gonzalez, a shortstop better reputed for his glove-work than his bat: According to John Sickels list at Major League Ball, none of them are ranked higher than #18 as far as Arizona is concerned. Curiously, the three players were consecutive on Sickel's list, from #18-20.
AlGon was the highest-ranked shortstop in the Arizona system, but really, with Drew looking set to be there through 2011, do we need anyone else? Especially someone named Gonzalez. :-) His line in Tennessee last year was .290/.356/.392, for a .748 OPS, and had a quick cup of coffee in Tucson with the Sidewinders. Jackson was originally hoped to have a Webb-like sinker, but the reality seemed less than the advance promotion, and those who saw him during the Arizona Fall League were largely unimpressed. There, he threw 19 innings, giving up 15 earned runs on 24 hits and nine walks.
And then there's Ohlendorf, whom the Yankees are regarding as the jewel in the trade and who perhaps does have the highest potential upside. But, really, what are we talking here? Apart from the usual caveat that there's no such thing as a pitching prospect, he was only a fourth-round pick, and his 2006 year was a lot better than the previous one, so that could be an aberration. I am slightly sorry to see him go, but as terrors go, I think I can handle it, and should be able to sleep [though the heavy, ongoing doses of NyQuil will probably help there!]
All told, my first instinct is that I like this deal. It probably works out at about $24m/2 years of Johnson, and while he may not quite be the Cy Young winner he was in his first stint, he should still prove a credible threat - whenever he comes back to full fitness [I'm currently thinking probably around the end of June?] Assuming the players in question are as widely reported, we've kept hold of our best prospects, and traded a few mid-level ones for a player who could put us over the top in 2007. Delighted to see that mvn.com proved to be wildly wrong in their expectations and claims of who the Yankees would be getting in the trade. Goddamn bloggers. ;-)
I particularly liked the analysis quoted by William K in the comments, that if you add the trades we've done since Johnson left, the net result is Chris Young, Evan McLane and Juan Cruz for Ross Ohlendorf. Which is pretty cool. Anyway, that's your lot, and I have to go to bed - the NyQuil is kicking in - but questions for discussion, either here, or in the convenient diary opened by dbackfan25 over on the right. Does Arizona now have the best rotation in the NL West, in Webb, Johnson, Hernandez 2.0, Davis and A.N.Other? Who should be that A.N.Other? Where does this trade leave our bullpen?
[* = Taking a closer look at the 2004 roster reveals the wholesale turnover since that time. We used 27 position players and 25 pitchers during the season, but I think Tracy, Hammock and Snyder are the only survivors still with the organization in any form, from the former category, while among the pitchers, we have Webb, EdGon, Valverde, and now, the Big Unit. All told, that's an 87% turnover rate, in little more than two years, since the nightmare which was 2004.]
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#5 starter
by DiamondbacksWIn on Jan 5, 2007 6:51 AM EST 0 recs
the
by ReLaunch on
Jan 5, 2007 6:58 AM EST
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Please , Cupid , Make It Happen...
Because you know if you don't we will...and I just can't have that.
If you do , we'll trade Benitez for a bucket of...those stadium dogs Sir Jim so loves!
by suitsmetoATnT on
Jan 5, 2007 6:02 PM EST
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downword trend
by johngordonma on Jan 5, 2007 11:07 AM EST 0 recs
DIPS and LIPS
Moreover, that's without taking into account that he pitched most of last season with a bad back, which caused his K/BB ratio to plummet from 4.49 to 2.87. (It was 5.10 during his 6 years in AZ.) If that problem really has been fixed, he should be able to get that ratio at least back up to 4.00. That would drop his ERA even further, from the high 3's to the low-to-mid 3's.
by fjm235 on Jan 5, 2007 12:40 PM EST 0 recs
Performance/Health
by nihil67 on Jan 5, 2007 12:49 PM EST 0 recs
Zips
Player W L G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA WHIP
AZ-Johnson 17 10 33 33 216 195 87 28 57 206 3.63 1.17
NY-Johnson 19 9 34 34 223 202 92 27 54 196 3.71 1.15
by nihil67 on Jan 5, 2007 1:08 PM EST 0 recs
Even pro-rated...
by Jim McLennan on
Jan 5, 2007 1:51 PM EST
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Market Cost
Our team is better this year and next with an average Randy than if we didn't get him at all - and if he excels -- even better.
by Mister T in AZ on
Jan 5, 2007 2:40 PM EST
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Just a thought...
by Jim McLennan on Jan 5, 2007 2:22 PM EST 0 recs
did not think of that.
by flyingdutchman on
Jan 5, 2007 5:53 PM EST
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State of the Bullpen ...
I guess we also have the question of Scott Hariston and the catcher situation, as we know that Randy liked to have his own pitcher in New York. Does (shocking as this sound) Chris Snyder become expendable, as we have stated that Montero is the future as a backstop and Randy's familiarity with Hammock makes him the more likely candidate to be catching for him?
Personally, while this is all my own wild speculation, I do think that moving a catcher will be preferable for many posters here vs. moving Hariston, but only time will tell.
by npineda on Jan 5, 2007 4:30 PM EST 0 recs
yeah your right
by flyingdutchman on
Jan 5, 2007 5:49 PM EST
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Wildly Wrong?
That said, Luis Vizcaino's lot in life just got incredibly more difficult. Except for one season in Chicago, Viz has been a 'small market' pitcher (Oakland, Milwaukee, Arizona) and pitching against some of the best hitters in the game in the pressure-cooker that is Yankee Stadium will be a true test. I wish him well but hope the Yankees fall completely apart.
by richnick1 on Jan 10, 2007 11:37 AM EST 0 recs












